Explainable El Niño predictability from climate mode interactions
A parsimonious conceptual model provides accurate forecasts of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) climate phenomenon up to 16-18 months in advance, outperforming global climate models and rivalling the best forecasts using artificial intelligence methods. The model enhances understanding and quantifies the impacts of various ocean climate patterns on ENSO predictability.
Jun 26, 2024